TrinityTrading · Trade Wars
A wallet-verifiable strategy evidence network for indexing versioned trading systems against exact Solana token mints.
Abstract
A participant commits to a versioned PIT Card before entry, retains custody, completes or abandons the position on-chain, and allows Trinity to measure the outcome after observable costs. The result is a durable receipt of what was intended, what occurred, and how it was classified.
The index
Each cell accumulates qualified observations across independent wallet clusters, time periods, liquidity conditions, and volatility regimes. Trade Wars is the experience layer. Proof-of-Strategy is the evidence system beneath it.
01 · The problem
Trading performance is often communicated through screenshots, selective leaderboards, unverifiable backtests, or claims made after the result is known. Even an authentic on-chain round trip proves only that a wallet traded. It does not identify the strategy that motivated the trade or establish that the result can be reproduced.
02 · Core evidence unit
wallet or wallet cluster + strategy version + pre-entry PIT Card commitment + exact Solana token mint + entry conditions + finalized entry and exit records + net outcome after observable costs + evidence classification
More wallets do not automatically produce better evidence. Evidence improves only when observations are complete, economically meaningful, independently attributable, and measured under declared rules.
03 · Meaning of proof
Proof-of-Strategy is proof of attributable evidence, not proof of future profit.
04 · Voyage lifecycle
Trinity checks exact mint identity, route, liquidity, volume, concentration, cooldown, and wallet capacity. Before entry, it produces a wallet-bound PIT Card with the strategy version, mint, limits, expiration, and canonical commitment hash.
Finalized entries, adds, exits, costs, adverse movement, and deviations remain attached to the voyage. A voyage resolves as profitable, losing, expired, abandoned, invalid, or still open. None of those states may disappear merely because it is unfavorable.
05 · Outcome accounting
net outcome = realized exit value − matched acquisition basis − network fees − protocol and routing fees − observable slippage
USDC, SOL, or another declared numeraire may be used, but the numeraire remains attached to the record. If complete basis cannot be established, the result stays partial or unverified. Unknown data never becomes a favorable assumption.
06 · Qualification
A future gate may require extensive independent confirmation before Trinity presents a strategy–token combination. Counting only profitable trades would create survivorship bias and corrupt the index. Every confirmed precommitted entry must retain its final state.
These thresholds are a research starting point, not a permanent assertion of statistical sufficiency.
07 · Independence
A controller can create many wallets, repeat dust trades, or route circular activity to manufacture confirmation. Trinity should estimate controller clusters using explainable public signals such as funding paths, repeated counterparties, timing correlation, transaction structure, and direct self-routing.
Clustering remains a probabilistic interpretation and must be labeled accordingly.
08 · Confidence states
Qualification changes the amount of verified historical support for presenting a setup. It never turns history into a guarantee.
09 · NFTs
NFTs may identify ships, strategy templates, versions, fleet links, achievements, helper records, or presentation access. Ownership does not grant custody, signing power, delegated execution, promised rewards, or proof of strategy effectiveness.
10 · Reputation
A transfer can support a voluntary helper credential, but the transaction alone does not prove motive. Interpretation must come from a signed claim or declared rule, remain reviewable, and never create custody over another wallet.
11 · Cooperative boundary
Fleets may collaborate through analysis, attestations, and independently produced evidence while every wallet retains custody and makes its own decision. Trinity must not organize synchronized buying, artificial volume, wash trading, price support, or coordinated exits. Activity designed to move a market or help another participant exit does not qualify as cooperative evidence.
The network’s value comes from independent reproduction—not collective price pressure.
12 · Architecture
PIT Card commitment → wallet-approved activity → finalized on-chain receipts → normalized voyage record → versioned evaluator → strategy–token evidence cell → wallet-facing confidence card
Raw transactions are durable public facts. Normalization, clustering, regime classification, and scoring are interpretations. Trinity versions those interpretations so the system can learn without pretending that a new model was always the original result.
13 · Self-custody
14 · Fail closed
15 · Additive compatibility
Prior strategy versions and voyage records remain inspectable. New learning may publish a successor strategy, tighten a gate, suspend an evidence cell, introduce a new evaluator, or add a presentation layer. It must not silently change the rules attached to an old commitment or erase an unfavorable outcome.
16 · Development path
17 · Risks
Proof-of-Strategy remains exposed to regime change, illiquidity, incomplete cost data, clustering errors, malicious participants, smart-contract failures, token collapse, evaluator bugs, and human misinterpretation. Averaging can lower the price required for recovery while increasing capital exposed to a declining asset. No amount of averaging guarantees recovery, and an asset may approach zero or become impossible to exit.
Category definition
Proof-of-Strategy is a framework in which participants precommit to versioned trading rules, retain custody, contribute complete finalized outcomes, and allow those outcomes to be evaluated across exact assets and market regimes.
Trade Wars is Trinity’s interactive expression of the framework: wallets become vessels, strategies become rigs and PIT Cards, completed trades become voyages, and the blockchain preserves the receipts.
Proof before trust. Complete outcomes before leaderboards. Independent evidence before confidence. Self-custody before participation.